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Well sometime last night after I went to bed they decided that Ohio was going to Bush.  So here’s the numbers as of right now.  As long as all the states being counted stay where they are Bush wins.  You need 270 Electoral College votes to win and with 269 is all but guaranteed for Bush.

There are two possible outcomes.
1) Bush wins at least one more of the states currently not counted (Iowa, Nevada, New Mexico, Wisconsin) in which he then has over 270 and is the winner.

2) Kerry wins the rest in which we get a 269/269 tie.  The tie-breaker vote is made in Congress.  In which case you have two things going for Bush.  First is that Republicans control Congress so there should be little doubt where the vote will be.  Second is that Bush does have the popular vote so Congress would feel great pressure from the public to cast the tie-breaker for the winner there.

Number one is the most likely outcome.  Iowa, Nevada and New Mexico are all leaning toward Bush right now so it’s very likely that at least one will end up being called for Bush.

The dems claim Ohio is the tossup right now but I disagree.  Ohio has gone to Bush and no number of absentee or provisional ballots are going to swing it the other way.

Well nothing from Ohio yet… locally there are reports that several of the counties that went to Gore last time around is going to Bush this time, including the big one Franklin (Columbus).  Of course the numbers aren’t final so we’ll have to see yet…

I have a feeling that we won’t known Ohio for a few more hours.

I voted this morning around 11am.  I hope everyone of you that can vote had gone and done the same.  You still have time if you haven’t so get your butts off your chairs and go now!!!!

I’ll try to make a few posts tonight for local results here in Ohio.